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Rules

This market resolves to “Yes” if the official temperature recorded in the City of Toronto falls below −30 °C at any point on Saturday, January 24, 2026. Temperature must be measured as the actual air temperature, not wind chill, and recorded by Environment and Climate Change Canada at an official Toronto weather station. Wind chill values, forecasts, or readings from unofficial or private stations will not qualify. The market resolves to “No” if the temperature does not drop below −30 °C at any qualifying station during the calendar day. Resolution will be based on published data from Environment and Climate Change Canada or reporting derived directly from those records.